NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO MTST
Points 65.2 77.9
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.5
Shooting SEMO MTST
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 53.3
Field Goal % 41.5% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 22.8
Free Throw % 70.6% 72.4%
Ball Control SEMO MTST
Rebounds 32.6 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.3
Turnovers 11.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.4
Steals 4.8 7.5
Fouls 19.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO MTST
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.1
% of Possessions with SEMO MTST
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 24.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 26.7%
Turnover 16.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO MTST
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 21.1%