NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH OHIO
Points 67.5 72.6
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 25.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.4
Shooting M-OH OHIO
Field Goals Made 23.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 58.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.1%
Ball Control M-OH OHIO
Rebounds 34.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 9.5
Turnovers 12.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.7
Steals 4.9 6.6
Fouls 15.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH OHIO
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 70.0
% of Possessions with M-OH OHIO
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 31.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.9%
Turnover 17.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH OHIO
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.5%