NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA UCLA
Points 64.1 66.8
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 14.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.9
Shooting SEA UCLA
Field Goals Made 21.0 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 53.9
Field Goal % 39.0% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 21.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 74.3%
Ball Control SEA UCLA
Rebounds 34.0 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.3
Turnovers 11.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.5
Steals 4.1 5.2
Fouls 17.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA UCLA
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 67.4
% of Possessions with SEA UCLA
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 19.9%
Player Fouled 25.0% 26.4%
Turnover 16.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.5% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.4%