NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH CMU
Points 66.1 63.1
Total Points   129.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 17.5
Points From Free Throws 12.2 11.3
Shooting M-OH CMU
Field Goals Made 22.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 58.5
Field Goal % 39.0% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 16.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 67.1%
Ball Control M-OH CMU
Rebounds 36.1 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.0
Turnovers 9.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.9
Steals 5.4 5.4
Fouls 13.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH CMU
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 69.1
% of Possessions with M-OH CMU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.0%
Turnover 13.7% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH CMU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 28.6%