NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO SIUE
Points 66.8 72.8
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 15.8
Points From Free Throws 12.7 17.6
Shooting SEMO SIUE
Field Goals Made 24.0 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 56.6
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.7 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 24.0
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.2%
Ball Control SEMO SIUE
Rebounds 33.4 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.3
Turnovers 10.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 4.5 6.1
Fouls 17.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO SIUE
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 71.3
% of Possessions with SEMO SIUE
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 24.1%
Turnover 15.5% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO SIUE
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.2%