NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO MORE
Points 58.0 77.3
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 10.4 15.9
Shooting SEMO MORE
Field Goals Made 21.5 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 53.5
Field Goal % 36.7% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 61.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 10.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 21.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.2%
Ball Control SEMO MORE
Rebounds 28.4 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.8
Turnovers 9.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 4.7 5.7
Fouls 16.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO MORE
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 67.4
% of Possessions with SEMO MORE
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 24.0%
Turnover 14.1% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO MORE
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 32.9%