NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH EMU
Points 71.6 62.6
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 16.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 9.8
Shooting M-OH EMU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 28.3%
Free Throws Made 12.2 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 14.7
Free Throw % 71.5% 66.6%
Ball Control M-OH EMU
Rebounds 34.6 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.6
Turnovers 9.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.6
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 13.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH EMU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 67.2
% of Possessions with M-OH EMU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 24.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 19.1%
Turnover 13.9% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH EMU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 26.1%