NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO MORE
Points 61.3 70.3
Total Points   131.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.3 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 18.4
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.7
Shooting SEMO MORE
Field Goals Made 20.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 49.4
Field Goal % 36.7% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 23.3
Free Throw % 67.7% 67.6%
Ball Control SEMO MORE
Rebounds 30.6 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.0
Turnovers 12.2 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.7
Steals 7.3 4.5
Fouls 18.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO MORE
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 64.0
% of Possessions with SEMO MORE
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 20.0%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.9%
Turnover 17.4% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO MORE
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 26.9%