NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA AFA
Points 72.2 65.2
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 22.7
Points From Free Throws 16.3 10.8
Shooting SEA AFA
Field Goals Made 24.2 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 52.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 16.3 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 15.7
Free Throw % 74.7% 68.7%
Ball Control SEA AFA
Rebounds 34.7 27.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 6.7
Turnovers 10.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 4.9 5.7
Fouls 15.7 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA AFA
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 61.8
% of Possessions with SEA AFA
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 31.1%
Player Fouled 24.1% 23.6%
Turnover 15.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA AFA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 21.2%