NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH BGSU
Points 71.9 68.4
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 16.4
Points From Free Throws 10.9 15.3
Shooting M-OH BGSU
Field Goals Made 26.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 58.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.9% 27.3%
Free Throws Made 10.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 21.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 72.7%
Ball Control M-OH BGSU
Rebounds 32.1 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 11.1
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.7
Steals 5.6 6.1
Fouls 15.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH BGSU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 71.1
% of Possessions with M-OH BGSU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.7%
Turnover 14.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 29.7%