NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO JVST
Points 61.6 72.1
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 10.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 19.2
Shooting SEMO JVST
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 51.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 12.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 11.0 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 27.9
Free Throw % 70.6% 68.8%
Ball Control SEMO JVST
Rebounds 28.6 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.7
Steals 4.8 6.7
Fouls 18.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO JVST
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 69.4
% of Possessions with SEMO JVST
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 15.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 26.8%
Turnover 16.5% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO JVST
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 35.0%