NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH IND
Points 68.1 82.0
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.1
Shooting M-OH IND
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 57.4
Field Goal % 40.5% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 23.9
Free Throw % 72.4% 71.4%
Ball Control M-OH IND
Rebounds 30.8 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.5
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 17.7 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH IND
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 72.0
% of Possessions with M-OH IND
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.5%
Turnover 15.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH IND
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 31.7%