NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH IND
Points 76.1 85.1
Total Points   161.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 29.2
Points From Free Throws 16.6 17.5
Shooting M-OH IND
Field Goals Made 25.7 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 59.1
Field Goal % 45.2% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 64.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 29.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.9
Free Throw % 74.1% 79.8%
Ball Control M-OH IND
Rebounds 30.4 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.0
Turnovers 9.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.8
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 15.9 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Miami OH

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH IND
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 72.5
% of Possessions with M-OH IND
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 35.2%
Player Fouled 24.2% 21.8%
Turnover 13.3% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH IND
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 27.6%