NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA WASH
Points 73.4 79.5
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 19.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 15.2
Shooting SEA WASH
Field Goals Made 25.3 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 59.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 15.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.2
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.5%
Ball Control SEA WASH
Rebounds 36.3 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.7
Steals 5.1 5.2
Fouls 18.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA WASH
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 71.9
% of Possessions with SEA WASH
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 24.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 24.3%
Turnover 14.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA WASH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 23.5%