NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA CALBA
Points 70.9 63.9
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 16.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 14.2
Shooting SEA CALBA
Field Goals Made 26.3 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 56.3
Field Goal % 46.0% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.5 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 20.4
Free Throw % 74.7% 69.6%
Ball Control SEA CALBA
Rebounds 35.0 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.4
Turnovers 8.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 4.4 3.4
Fouls 16.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA CALBA
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 69.0
% of Possessions with SEA CALBA
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 24.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.5%
Turnover 13.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 27.5%