NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH WIU
Points 65.4 63.2
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 16.3
Points From Free Throws 10.5 11.5
Shooting M-OH WIU
Field Goals Made 23.9 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 58.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 10.5 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 18.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 62.4%
Ball Control M-OH WIU
Rebounds 31.4 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 15.0
Turnovers 8.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.8
Steals 6.8 4.8
Fouls 14.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH WIU
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.9
% of Possessions with M-OH WIU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 21.4%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.6%
Turnover 12.2% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH WIU
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 38.4%