NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA SFA
Points 72.9 67.7
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 15.3
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.1
Shooting SEA SFA
Field Goals Made 23.5 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 54.1
Field Goal % 45.1% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 24.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 70.3%
Ball Control SEA SFA
Rebounds 34.8 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.1
Turnovers 14.8 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 5.9 7.2
Fouls 19.2 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA SFA
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.6
% of Possessions with SEA SFA
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 20.3%
Player Fouled 25.7% 26.3%
Turnover 20.3% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA SFA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 28.5%