NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA CSN
Points 74.1 69.8
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 12.4
Points From Free Throws 17.9 14.6
Shooting SEA CSN
Field Goals Made 23.5 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 17.9 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 21.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 67.7%
Ball Control SEA CSN
Rebounds 37.0 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.4
Turnovers 11.4 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 17.5 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA CSN
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 71.4
% of Possessions with SEA CSN
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 17.2%
Player Fouled 25.9% 23.6%
Turnover 15.3% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA CSN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 25.9%