NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO EIU
Points 67.3 70.9
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 12.4
Points From Free Throws 12.0 16.0
Shooting SEMO EIU
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 57.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 21.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.7%
Ball Control SEMO EIU
Rebounds 33.7 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.4
Turnovers 12.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.2
Steals 4.1 7.2
Fouls 15.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO EIU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 70.3
% of Possessions with SEMO EIU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 53.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 17.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.5%
Turnover 17.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO EIU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 27.0%