NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO YSU
Points 62.6 81.5
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 18.8
Points From Free Throws 10.9 18.8
Shooting SEMO YSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 60.0
Field Goal % 36.8% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.0% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 10.9 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 25.0
Free Throw % 70.6% 75.3%
Ball Control SEMO YSU
Rebounds 33.0 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.8
Turnovers 10.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.8
Steals 4.2 5.9
Fouls 18.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO YSU
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 75.6
% of Possessions with SEMO YSU
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.4% 25.1%
Turnover 15.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO YSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 33.4%