NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO PORT
Points 68.7 74.9
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 20.2
Points From Free Throws 7.7 16.2
Shooting SEMO PORT
Field Goals Made 26.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 53.7
Field Goal % 41.4% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 7.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 10.9 22.9
Free Throw % 70.6% 70.9%
Ball Control SEMO PORT
Rebounds 32.5 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.8
Turnovers 8.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.0
Steals 4.7 3.9
Fouls 19.1 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO PORT
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.7
% of Possessions with SEMO PORT
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 16.8% 27.2%
Turnover 11.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO PORT
Shot Blocked 3.7% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 24.6%