NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring M-OH WRST
Points 77.6 81.0
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 18.6
Points From Free Throws 12.5 15.3
Shooting M-OH WRST
Field Goals Made 27.7 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 12.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.3
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.6%
Ball Control M-OH WRST
Rebounds 29.7 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.0
Turnovers 11.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.3
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 16.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats M-OH WRST
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 71.4
% of Possessions with M-OH WRST
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 20.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.9%
Turnover 15.2% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken M-OH WRST
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 28.2%