NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA UNLV
Points 66.7 72.0
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 16.1
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.3
Shooting SEA UNLV
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 54.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 21.0
Free Throw % 74.7% 73.0%
Ball Control SEA UNLV
Rebounds 34.9 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.5
Turnovers 11.2 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.1
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 16.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: UNLV

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA UNLV
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.7
% of Possessions with SEA UNLV
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 21.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.6%
Turnover 16.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA UNLV
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 26.3%