NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA CSB
Points 70.9 64.4
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 11.5
Points From Free Throws 19.6 13.7
Shooting SEA CSB
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 56.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 19.6 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 18.8
Free Throw % 74.7% 73.0%
Ball Control SEA CSB
Rebounds 34.3 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.4
Turnovers 11.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 15.8 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA CSB
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.2
% of Possessions with SEA CSB
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 16.7%
Player Fouled 27.7% 22.8%
Turnover 16.4% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA CSB
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 29.4%