NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO KC
Points 61.7 72.3
Total Points   134.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 18.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.9
Shooting SEMO KC
Field Goals Made 21.6 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 54.5
Field Goal % 39.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.0% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 24.8
Free Throw % 70.6% 72.1%
Ball Control SEMO KC
Rebounds 31.0 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.8
Turnovers 11.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.7
Steals 4.7 5.8
Fouls 18.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO KC
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 70.2
% of Possessions with SEMO KC
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 25.2%
Player Fouled 24.1% 26.8%
Turnover 16.7% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO KC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 31.3%