NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA TST
Points 72.4 71.0
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 16.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 13.8
Shooting SEA TST
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 59.1
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 13.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.2
Free Throw % 74.7% 75.8%
Ball Control SEA TST
Rebounds 37.6 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.1
Turnovers 12.0 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 4.3 7.0
Fouls 15.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA TST
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 70.3
% of Possessions with SEA TST
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 22.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.6%
Turnover 17.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA TST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 25.5%