NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA ACU
Points 75.7 67.2
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 13.8
Points From Free Throws 15.7 15.5
Shooting SEA ACU
Field Goals Made 26.7 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 56.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 14.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.1
Free Throw % 74.7% 73.4%
Ball Control SEA ACU
Rebounds 37.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.7
Turnovers 12.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.9
Steals 5.0 6.4
Fouls 17.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA ACU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 69.3
% of Possessions with SEA ACU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 18.2%
Player Fouled 23.4% 23.5%
Turnover 17.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA ACU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 21.4%