NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA ACU
Points 68.3 64.5
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 11.3
Points From Free Throws 22.6 14.6
Shooting SEA ACU
Field Goals Made 20.7 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 47.7 51.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 26.9%
Free Throws Made 22.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 32.0 20.4
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.5%
Ball Control SEA ACU
Rebounds 32.6 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.2
Turnovers 13.5 15.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.4
Steals 8.5 8.0
Fouls 16.3 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA ACU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 64.0
% of Possessions with SEA ACU
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 17.2%
Player Fouled 29.6% 22.8%
Turnover 18.9% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA ACU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 26.2%