NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA ACU
Points 71.7 57.4
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 13.7
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.8
Shooting SEA ACU
Field Goals Made 23.3 18.5
Field Goals Attempted 44.8 50.8
Field Goal % 52.1% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 40.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 22.5
Free Throw % 70.7% 70.0%
Ball Control SEA ACU
Rebounds 31.5 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 4.9 9.0
Turnovers 15.3 15.9
Blocked Shots 6.1 2.4
Steals 8.8 9.2
Fouls 16.1 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA ACU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 60.9 64.3
% of Possessions with SEA ACU
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 19.4%
Player Fouled 28.7% 22.6%
Turnover 21.4% 22.3%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA ACU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 13.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 25.3%