NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS BING
Points 79.4 71.0
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 14.5
Points From Free Throws 21.0 12.9
Shooting UMASS BING
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 62.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 21.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 19.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 66.4%
Ball Control UMASS BING
Rebounds 38.0 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.5
Turnovers 9.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.1
Steals 6.0 5.2
Fouls 14.6 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Binghamton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS BING
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 73.7
% of Possessions with UMASS BING
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 20.4%
Player Fouled 24.3% 19.8%
Turnover 12.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS BING
Shot Blocked 6.7% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 26.8%