NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS OSU
Points 67.5 81.1
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 46.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 18.1
Points From Free Throws 15.4 16.1
Shooting UMASS OSU
Field Goals Made 23.4 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 64.3
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 75.2%
Ball Control UMASS OSU
Rebounds 36.0 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.1
Turnovers 11.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 6.2
Steals 4.6 6.7
Fouls 15.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS OSU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 77.3
% of Possessions with UMASS OSU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.2%
Turnover 16.2% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS OSU
Shot Blocked 9.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 32.2%