NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMASS ALBY
Points 86.5 79.5
Total Points   166.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.0 45.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 23.0 13.2
Shooting UMASS ALBY
Field Goals Made 29.7 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 68.7
Field Goal % 52.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 46.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 23.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 30.9 17.9
Free Throw % 74.3% 73.9%
Ball Control UMASS ALBY
Rebounds 39.2 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.3
Turnovers 12.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.9
Steals 6.7 8.7
Fouls 12.9 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMASS ALBY
Total Possessions 78.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 79.3
% of Possessions with UMASS ALBY
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.6% 24.6%
Player Fouled 25.1% 16.6%
Turnover 16.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMASS ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 29.9%