NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTSA GRC
Points 68.8 84.4
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 25.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 21.6
Shooting UTSA GRC
Field Goals Made 22.1 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 60.0
Field Goal % 35.5% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.0% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.6 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 28.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 76.0%
Ball Control UTSA GRC
Rebounds 37.7 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.2
Turnovers 11.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 6.5
Steals 4.1 6.4
Fouls 17.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTSA GRC
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 76.9
% of Possessions with UTSA GRC
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.0%
Turnover 14.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTSA GRC
Shot Blocked 11.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 30.5%