NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UCLA
Points 58.5 68.1
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 15.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 21.4
Shooting CSB UCLA
Field Goals Made 20.1 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 47.3
Field Goal % 38.2% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 28.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.3%
Ball Control CSB UCLA
Rebounds 32.1 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.4
Turnovers 11.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 4.7 5.5
Fouls 20.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UCLA
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 65.1
% of Possessions with CSB UCLA
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 19.3%
Player Fouled 24.6% 31.8%
Turnover 18.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UCLA
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 30.4%