NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTSA LT
Points 69.1 79.8
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 25.7 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 24.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 17.3
Shooting UTSA LT
Field Goals Made 22.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 60.9
Field Goal % 36.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 24.6
Free Throw % 71.1% 70.3%
Ball Control UTSA LT
Rebounds 36.9 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.5
Turnovers 9.5 8.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 6.2
Steals 4.6 5.5
Fouls 16.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTSA LT
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 75.4
% of Possessions with UTSA LT
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 24.7%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.4%
Turnover 13.1% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTSA LT
Shot Blocked 10.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 30.6%