NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB CHS
Points 69.0 63.6
Total Points   132.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.9 15.6
Points From Free Throws 14.4 20.2
Shooting CSB CHS
Field Goals Made 25.2 19.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 47.9
Field Goal % 47.2% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 28.7
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.5%
Ball Control CSB CHS
Rebounds 35.6 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 18.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.8
Turnovers 13.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.7
Steals 5.9 7.4
Fouls 17.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB CHS
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 65.7
% of Possessions with CSB CHS
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.3% 21.5%
Player Fouled 23.4% 26.5%
Turnover 19.6% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB CHS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 41.1% 32.0%