NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB SF
Points 59.2 73.1
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 12.8 22.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.9
Shooting CSB SF
Field Goals Made 19.9 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 53.1
Field Goal % 38.9% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 20.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.2%
Ball Control CSB SF
Rebounds 30.8 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.8
Turnovers 13.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.9
Steals 5.3 7.4
Fouls 17.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB SF
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 65.8
% of Possessions with CSB SF
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 24.5% 24.9%
Turnover 19.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB SF
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.6%