NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UCRV
Points 70.2 69.0
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.2
Shooting CSB UCRV
Field Goals Made 25.8 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.7
Field Goal % 47.2% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 24.2
Free Throw % 73.0% 71.1%
Ball Control CSB UCRV
Rebounds 35.3 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.2
Turnovers 10.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.3
Steals 4.3 5.0
Fouls 18.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UCRV
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 69.2
% of Possessions with CSB UCRV
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 28.8%
Player Fouled 22.5% 26.6%
Turnover 15.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UCRV
Shot Blocked 2.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 28.1%