NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTSA UTEP
Points 73.8 74.9
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.6
Points From Free Throws 20.0 16.7
Shooting UTSA UTEP
Field Goals Made 23.5 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 59.4
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 20.0 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 24.6
Free Throw % 71.1% 68.0%
Ball Control UTSA UTEP
Rebounds 38.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.9
Turnovers 14.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.3
Steals 5.2 8.9
Fouls 17.0 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTSA UTEP
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.9
% of Possessions with UTSA UTEP
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 22.1%
Player Fouled 24.4% 22.7%
Turnover 19.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTSA UTEP
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 26.2%