NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTSA RICE
Points 79.3 79.3
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 28.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.5
Shooting UTSA RICE
Field Goals Made 27.2 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 62.1
Field Goal % 41.6% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.5 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.2%
Ball Control UTSA RICE
Rebounds 40.1 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.0
Turnovers 8.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.7
Steals 4.9 4.4
Fouls 14.6 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTSA RICE
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 73.1
% of Possessions with UTSA RICE
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 30.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.1%
Turnover 11.6% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTSA RICE
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 24.4%