NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UNI
Points 63.5 71.1
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 18.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 21.9
Shooting CSB UNI
Field Goals Made 23.2 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 47.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 31.0
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.8%
Ball Control CSB UNI
Rebounds 33.0 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.1
Turnovers 11.6 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.6
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 20.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UNI
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 65.3
% of Possessions with CSB UNI
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 30.2%
Turnover 17.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UNI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 23.0%