NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB HAW
Points 64.6 69.3
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 9.9 20.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 20.2
Shooting CSB HAW
Field Goals Made 23.8 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 46.3
Field Goal % 42.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.1 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 3.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 11.0 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.6 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 27.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 72.5%
Ball Control CSB HAW
Rebounds 31.9 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.9
Turnovers 10.1 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.1
Steals 6.0 3.9
Fouls 20.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB HAW
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 63.1
% of Possessions with CSB HAW
2 Point Attempt 57.2% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 13.9% 24.8%
Player Fouled 22.8% 29.4%
Turnover 14.7% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB HAW
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 23.5%