NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTSA OKLA
Points 69.5 85.7
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 27.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.7
Shooting UTSA OKLA
Field Goals Made 23.4 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.7
Field Goal % 38.3% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 24.1
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.5%
Ball Control UTSA OKLA
Rebounds 34.2 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.4
Turnovers 9.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.1
Steals 4.7 4.6
Fouls 16.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTSA OKLA
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 73.7
% of Possessions with UTSA OKLA
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.2%
Turnover 12.7% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTSA OKLA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 27.7%