NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB SJSU
Points 68.2 67.5
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 23.9
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.2
Shooting CSB SJSU
Field Goals Made 24.5 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 52.6
Field Goal % 43.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.9 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 68.6%
Ball Control CSB SJSU
Rebounds 37.3 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 6.4
Turnovers 10.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.2
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 16.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: San Jose St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB SJSU
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 63.1
% of Possessions with CSB SJSU
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 30.1%
Player Fouled 21.7% 24.2%
Turnover 15.5% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB SJSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 20.1%