NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB CSF
Points 77.8 66.2
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 14.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 20.2
Shooting CSB CSF
Field Goals Made 26.9 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 47.9
Field Goal % 47.3% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 27.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 27.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 73.3%
Ball Control CSB CSF
Rebounds 34.0 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.8
Turnovers 10.1 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.7
Steals 7.1 3.8
Fouls 20.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfield

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB CSF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 64.8
% of Possessions with CSB CSF
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 21.7%
Player Fouled 23.8% 28.7%
Turnover 14.3% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB CSF
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 24.9%