NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB CSF
Points 75.7 86.7
Total Points   162.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 30.4
Points From Free Throws 18.6 20.1
Shooting CSB CSF
Field Goals Made 25.6 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 60.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 18.6 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 28.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.5%
Ball Control CSB CSF
Rebounds 36.5 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.6
Turnovers 14.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 6.4 7.8
Fouls 19.7 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfield

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB CSF
Total Possessions 78.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 77.2
% of Possessions with CSB CSF
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 29.2%
Player Fouled 23.1% 25.1%
Turnover 18.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB CSF
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 26.2%