NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UCSD
Points 68.3 72.9
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 23.5
Points From Free Throws 12.1 18.4
Shooting CSB UCSD
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 52.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 24.8
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.1%
Ball Control CSB UCSD
Rebounds 33.5 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.5
Steals 4.4 5.3
Fouls 18.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: UCSD

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UCSD
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 67.0
% of Possessions with CSB UCSD
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 27.5%
Turnover 15.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UCSD
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 26.2%