NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSB UVU
Points 63.5 65.2
Total Points   128.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 13.8
Points From Free Throws 14.2 18.0
Shooting CSB UVU
Field Goals Made 22.6 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 51.1
Field Goal % 40.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 27.6
Free Throw % 73.0% 65.3%
Ball Control CSB UVU
Rebounds 36.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.6
Turnovers 12.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.3
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 19.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSB UVU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 67.6
% of Possessions with CSB UVU
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 19.5%
Player Fouled 22.5% 27.5%
Turnover 17.3% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSB UVU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 27.3%