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Toledo at Ohio
Fri Jan 21, 2022
6:00pm ET
Athens, OH
Toledo at Ohio: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Ohio by 4.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | OHIO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 17-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 14-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 8-10-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Ohio Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Troy | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Cleveland St | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 19 | +2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Geo Wshgtn | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Brown | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Delaware | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Youngs St | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | L by 5 | -13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Defiance | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Austin Peay | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Davidson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Toledo | -2.0 | L by 9 | -11.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Illinois | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Bowling Grn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Michigan | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Central Mich | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | E Michigan | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Akron | +8.0 | L by 9 | -1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Kent St | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Buffalo | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miami (OH) | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Toledo | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Kent St | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Illinois | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Akron | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Buffalo | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Miami (OH) | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Michigan | -9.0 | W by 27 | +18.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Akron | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| OHIO -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3207 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ohio won the game 2116 times (66.0%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 1091 times (34.0%).
- The team like Ohio did better against the spread, going 1595-1560-52 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4706 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ohio did better against the spread, going 2325-2289-92 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/21 05:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/21 05:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/21 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/21 12:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:44 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/21 11:34 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/21 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/21 10:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:16 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/20 10:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/20 10:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 10:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 09:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 07:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 07:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 06:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 04:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 04:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 03:49 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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