NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOL OHIO
Points 78.1 82.2
Total Points   160.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 27.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 12.2
Shooting TOL OHIO
Field Goals Made 27.2 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.0
Field Goal % 47.3% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.4 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 16.4
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.1%
Ball Control TOL OHIO
Rebounds 33.8 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.2
Turnovers 10.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.7
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 14.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOL OHIO
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 70.2
% of Possessions with TOL OHIO
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 31.3%
Player Fouled 22.3% 19.4%
Turnover 14.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOL OHIO
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 25.6%