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Toledo vs. Bradley
Wed Nov 25, 2020
3:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
(Neutral Site)
Toledo vs. Bradley: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Bradley by 2.5, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | BRAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 17-15-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 10-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 8-9-1 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Bradley Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Tarleton St | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Murray St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana St | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Akron | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Cleveland St | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Duquesne | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SIU Edward | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Truman State | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Evansville | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Illinois | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Belmont | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Murray St | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | N Iowa | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Evansville | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Drake | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IL-Chicago | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | N Iowa | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Missouri St | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Illinois | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Drake | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Drake | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Cincinnati | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| BRAD -3.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2775 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Bradley won the game 1655 times (59.6%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 1120 times (40.4%).
- The team like Bradley did better against the spread, going 1369-1343-63 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 5-4 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 03:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/25 02:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 01:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/25 12:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/25 10:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/25 09:47 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/24 08:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 02:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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