NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOL BRAD
Points 69.0 82.0
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 27.1
Points From Free Throws 17.2 10.1
Shooting TOL BRAD
Field Goals Made 23.0 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 57.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 66.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.2 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 13.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.3%
Ball Control TOL BRAD
Rebounds 30.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.3
Turnovers 10.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.1 5.4
Steals 6.6 6.3
Fouls 12.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toledo

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOL BRAD
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 67.0
% of Possessions with TOL BRAD
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 30.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 17.7%
Turnover 14.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOL BRAD
Shot Blocked 9.5% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 29.0%