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Toledo at E Michigan
Fri Dec 4, 2020
7:00pm ET
Ypsilanti, MI
Toledo at E Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 2.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | EMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 15-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 9-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 8-8-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
E Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Butler | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | GA Southern | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +27.0 | L by 43 | -16.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Cleveland St | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Detroit | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Central Ark | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | North Dakota | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Lake Superior St. | -- | W by 15 | -- |
| 12/08 | Home | Oakland | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Michigan | +23.5 | L by 17 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Hampton | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Northwood (MI) | -- | W by 3 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Bowling Grn | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kent St | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Central Mich | -4.5 | L by 16 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miami (OH) | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Ball St | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio | +12.5 | L by 18 | -5.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | W Michigan | +4.5 | L by 17 | -12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Buffalo | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Akron | +11.0 | L by 31 | -20.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Illinois | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | UL Monroe | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Bowling Grn | +6.0 | W by 9 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Buffalo | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Ball St | +10.5 | W by 2 | +12.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | W Michigan | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miami (OH) | +6.0 | L by 15 | -9.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Akron | +21.0 | W by 1 | +22.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Central Mich | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| TOL -2.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2003 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1110 times (55.4%).
- The team like Eastern Michigan won the game 893 times (44.6%).
- The team like Eastern Michigan did better against the spread, going 997-967-39 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 50 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 27-23 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 06:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/04 06:37 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/04 05:52 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 05:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 12/04 02:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 12/04 01:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:59 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:59 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:35 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 12/04 09:58 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/04 08:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:24 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/04 07:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:46 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/03 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/03 10:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:11 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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